The above graph indicates that India's fertility rates are coming down consistently. In 2013 the urban and rural fertility rates are 2.5 and 1.8 percent per year. To replace the dying population we require the average fertility rate of 2. It will be noticed from above graph that urban birth rate is well below the required rate of 2. In 1995 urban India's birth rate was 2.6 almost equal to the present birth rate of rural India. By rough estimates we can say that in the next 18 years rural India's birth rate will also come down to 1.8 percent. Eighteen years from now, that is by 2035 India's population will stabilise. The main reason for this decline in birth rate is increase in literacy rates particularly female literacy.
Since most of the job opportunities are in urban areas, people from rural areas are migrating to cities in large numbers. In cities though they are able to find work but living in cities is very costly. Due to this women have to come out of homes for work to supplement the income of the family. Due to migration joint family system breaks down in the cities as old people keep living in the rural areas. Due to lack of support system (joint family system) families in cities find it difficult to look after their children. This results in the reduction of birth rates as people want a small family.
From what has been stated above, it can be concluded that the best way to control rise in population is fast development. With fast development and urbanisation, population is bound to reach a level where it may not rise at a significant rate. This is the stage when India will starts its next journey towards becoming a developed country. So if our population stabilised by 2035 and we add another 15 years for further development, we may be a developed country by 2050.